on to long island for the td waterhouse tourney, last warmup for usopen and some of the biggies have decided to take the week off. looks like a bit of an unusual schedule, as far as i can tell, 6 first round matches on monday followed by 10 on tuesday.
don't see much to like much from the monday selection but a couple of tuesday matches are on the board and might jump early as don't see prices moving my way
for monday, with no real doggy dogs meeting my criteria, i'm using a fave parlay of el aynaoui/beck pays abouut -120 on the combo and,
keifer -110 over mathieu, both of these guys have been a bit erratic lately mathieu has won last 2 first rd matches only to get whooped in the 2nd rd. keifer went deep into the los angeles tournament but was beaten in his next attemptin qualifying (at cincinnati) hoping the west coast form returns for him on the east coast. he is the better hard ct player and has beaten better players on this surface lately.
going tuesday
- sargsian +115 over corretja, this is a bit scary because its one of those matches that the price seems to be way off (by my numbers and 3 other indipendent ratings that all agree) sarg should be somewhere around -140ish
- saretta even$ over costa, been using saretta quite a bit lately ands ticking by him here, he's in good form and probably should be favorite here based on current play.
- vicente +105 over o. rochus, rochus had a nice wimbledon, then played a couple clay tournaments and was knocked out early, hasn't played a hard ct tournament in the summer season. i have vicente rated the better player on hard ct, despite his 1st rd losses in each of his last 2 attempts. those were both to stronger players than rochus and expecting vicente to make some ammends here.
don't see much to like much from the monday selection but a couple of tuesday matches are on the board and might jump early as don't see prices moving my way
for monday, with no real doggy dogs meeting my criteria, i'm using a fave parlay of el aynaoui/beck pays abouut -120 on the combo and,
keifer -110 over mathieu, both of these guys have been a bit erratic lately mathieu has won last 2 first rd matches only to get whooped in the 2nd rd. keifer went deep into the los angeles tournament but was beaten in his next attemptin qualifying (at cincinnati) hoping the west coast form returns for him on the east coast. he is the better hard ct player and has beaten better players on this surface lately.
going tuesday
- sargsian +115 over corretja, this is a bit scary because its one of those matches that the price seems to be way off (by my numbers and 3 other indipendent ratings that all agree) sarg should be somewhere around -140ish
- saretta even$ over costa, been using saretta quite a bit lately ands ticking by him here, he's in good form and probably should be favorite here based on current play.
- vicente +105 over o. rochus, rochus had a nice wimbledon, then played a couple clay tournaments and was knocked out early, hasn't played a hard ct tournament in the summer season. i have vicente rated the better player on hard ct, despite his 1st rd losses in each of his last 2 attempts. those were both to stronger players than rochus and expecting vicente to make some ammends here.
